Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by stewbrew 2266 days ago
Unless you did such a trial, you cannot be sure it actually was the drug that helped. But if everyone gets cured, such a trial should be easy to set up. Unfortunately, things are not that easy in real life. There is no miracle drug.
1 comments

But you already have a control which is a statistic called "survival rate after x years". If you beat it with a large enough treatment group, then you can prove it works.
Selection bias?

If you don't control who gets the treatment, who gets a placebo, and who gets the current state of the art treatment, you cannot really exclude your results are biased. There are some ideas about how to reason with observational data but your conclusion are still weaker as with experimental data.