[jart]

We don't know yet. These numbers are still preliminary, but it helps us to understand better the impact of the workarounds that doctors have needed to use, to tell the CDC it's COVID, when the software does not yet have a button for COVID.

The good news from the recent report (https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-Death-Counts-for-Coron...) is that overall mortality in America these past few months, has actually been lower than previous years. The bad news is that we should prepare for the possibilty that mortality for the new coronavirus specifically could turn out to be much worse than many non-official sources online have speculated, and that what's happening in NYC is happening in a lot more places too. Correcting for software workarounds and verifying good accurate data takes time.

[edraferi]

I expect 400k COVID-19 deaths in the US. Anything less than that is a major win. Anything less than the 2.2M is progress.

[abstractbarista]

This is likely a gross overestimation. We're at 70k worldwide deaths; turns out it's just not as bad as we were initially told.