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by klingonopera 2260 days ago
> "All our ICU patients are in their 50s or younger"

I was expecting a Triage-scenario to be the cause of this, but since they're not just yet at capacity, that can't be the case either.

How is this anomaly to be explained?

EDIT: Apparently, they are over-capacity, I was left under the impression, they hadn't turned anyone away from ICU... nevertheless, I still don't understand how that anomaly is possible... it's statistically very unlikely: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8181359/Doctor-retu...

1 comments

13 patients is not a big anomaly.

Check the historic number for respiratory related illnesses and deaths for the region and you will have context. Could be a lot of smokers .

Yeah, but for a virus that even more heavily affects older people, it's super unlikely you'd get 13 under-60s and not a single over-60. It's like flipping a coin and getting 13 times heads, possible, but super unlikely. And we're not even talking about odds of 50:50, but 33:67 for young/old.

So, he got 13 times heads in a row? If yes, he's probably at the only hospital in the world to have that kind of a luck.

EDIT: The odds for 13 times heads in a row, is about 0.01%. So, one in 10,000 hospitals... hm, ok, that does seem likely to occur more than once on a global scale.

Agree we wouldn't be hearing about it if it wasn't odd.

Just saying subtract out what conditions/ages in normal times occupy those beds and the odds will change.

But I am too lazy to do it - https://statswales.gov.wales/Catalogue/Health-and-Social-Car...

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsde...