Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by corysama 2266 days ago
The one I pay attention to is daily growth rate of confirmed cases. It can't cover people who aren't tested. But, it approximates the velocity of the problem's magnitude. And, over time it shows the acceleration --which reflects on how we are improving the situation, or not...

https://paroj.github.io/arewedeadyet/#rate

The good news is that the US has gone from a 30+% daily growth rate 10 days ago down to a 15% growth rate and falling. We need to keep falling into the negative rates to solve this problem.

1 comments

me too. it has some noise from variation in testing rate, but it's directionally accurate.

for example the bay area has recently been seeing some days with single digit growth rates. shelter in place IS WORKING, but it's going to take time / we may need some additional measures. I was just reading it may also be spread in the air from breathing.