[WantonQuantum]

The exponential growth can make it unintuitive but here are some numbers to consider:

In the last 5 days (data from CSSEGISandData) the total number of deaths (excluding china) has doubled from 20679 to 38798.

In the 5 days before that, the total number of deaths (excluding china) also doubled.

So worldwide (excluding china) the total number of deaths looks like this:

  In 5 days: 77,596
  In 10 days: 155,192
  In 15 days: 310,384
  In 20 days: 620,768
  In 25 days: 1,241,536

Unless things change really really quickly.

[rabryan]

Its an s-curve with parameters that are changing by the hour and is sensitive to so many other variables. I’m definitely advocating as extreme a response as possible, but I see those numbers more as a pessimistic upper bound (necessary for people to take appropriate action).

And I as well hope things are changing quickly...