Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by michaelangerman 2275 days ago
Number of new cases in Oregon is flat to slightly down in the past six days...

3/25 57

3/26 50

3/27 98

3/28 65

3/29 69

3/30 58

These are new case numbers. Data source: https://weather.com/coronavirus/l/3e056a178cd9fcb8c8efaa5819...

weather.com case numbers for oregon

1 comments

I think the point is if testing is tightly constrained you can't know much about how many cases you really have.

We'd actually want some kind of randomized survey testing in an area to understand the prevalence there, and do it over time to understand the arc, but we aren't doing that -- we still can't test all the people who have a need for am immediate test.

Testing is not that constrained. Here you can see stats for both positive and negative: https://covidtracking.com/data/state/oregon/

Oregon is doing roughly 1400 tests/day, with ~5% positive rate. Places that are more testing constrained see 20+% positive.