I mean people who can't work aren't going to be able to make rent. Landlords then cannot make mortgage payments so they default. Mortgage lenders are now up a creek without a paddle.
More complicated is that the shorts on MBS which mortgage servicers use to hedge their exposure to non performing loans are also losing money. As Fed buys more and more MBS the loan services can no longer recoup money via their hedge, can’t get payment out of borrowers, and often can’t even resell the loan since lots of them are recently refinanced and now with forebarence have not made their first payment.
Servicer does not own the loan, they simply paid an upfront cost to have the right to collect payments from homeowners (from which they take a cut). So the owner can sell their MBS to Fed to reduce uncertainty on their balance sheet, but servicer is just stuck servicing the loan — they already paid the upfront cost for the right to service the loan. That’s why they hedge by shorting MBS.
Shouldn't mortgage lenders have done their due diligence to ensure that the people they were lending to weren't reliant on rental income to make their mortgage payments?
This just sounds like people decided to take huge risks on rental properties and now that risk is catching up to them.
even in normal times, I don't think lenders are lining up around the block to give people with no income a mortgage for a house they intend to rent out. there are a lot of landlords with mortgages on several rental properties. if they have enough viable properties, it doesn't usually look super risky to give them another mortgage, since they can smooth the cashflow from the other properties in the case of a small number of vacancies / delinquent tenants. there are also landlords who have enough income from work to cover the mortgages if all the tenants stop paying at once. in a correlated event like this, even the "safest" borrowers might be unable to pay. it's hard for a lender to protect against the possibility of entire industries shutting down overnight.
sounds like they assessed the risk incorrectly or their risk tolerance didn't equal the actual risks they took. Isn't this normal? If I buy stock with all my money, and the stock dramatically lowers in price, I don't get to complain to the government and get free money, do I?
first of all, if lenders did the kind of DD you are talking about, it would preclude most ordinary w-2 employees ever getting a mortgage for a home. "they have only one source of income! they could lose it at any time!" these people are a much bigger risk than some landlord trying to get a mortgage for their nth rental property.
to answer your second question: if you, a private individual, bet all your money on investments that go belly up, you're just screwed. if you're a large financial institution, you get to argue that your going under would create rippling consequences that outweigh the erosion of moral hazard that comes with a bailout. it's not fair or reasonable, but it's reality.
>"they have only one source of income! they could lose it at any time!" these people are a much bigger risk than some landlord trying to get a mortgage for their nth rental property.
Fairly certain source of income isn't the only variable. What about rainy day fund? Aren't individuals encouraged to have 3-6 months worth of expenses in cash for emergencies? Shouldn't the lender assure that this is the case before lending?