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by samfisher83 2275 days ago
The entire world is shutdown. I don't understand how we can avoid a recession at this point. I think Cash will be king so companies that generate a lot of it like apple, google, fb, msft will be fine. A lot business that don't generate cash are going to be in a lot of trouble. As money dries up funding is going to be harder to come by.
1 comments

On the contorary.

The economy is flooded with cash (3T fiscal injection + 10T form the FED). The FED basically bought most of the outstanding treasuries and injected cash into the system).

So once the virus is over (mainly due to massive testing), there might be inflation, which means that equity will be much pricier (not cheaper) in nominal terms.

I.e. if the economy was heated prior to the virus, it would be 2X heated after the virus.

In addition, there might be a shift of supply chains from china, back into the US, which means more jobs and more software.

However, we first need to get over the virus.