[stragies]

I suspect, many of the "shit" jobs will "die" out, or at least need a lots less people. I could easily imagine trash-collection, deliveries, all-kinds-of driving, cleaning etc to become fully-ish(95%+) automated, if not entirely for large sectors.

Hell, if BostonDynamics can build RoboSoldiers, that can salto and run parcour, they sure as hell can build something, that can scrub my toilet. Currently I can't afford their "house-hold"-chores model, but in ten years Samsung will probably have a line-up of models between 1000€ and 10000€

[tracker1]

Plumbing will unlikely ever any time soon be fully automated... it's too varied in terms of existing structures until AI becomes actual life. Similar for a lot of "dirty jobs."

Just look at how poorly the couple of attempts at McD's to automate the cooking processes, they failed miserably... Even today there's a lot of manual work in automated factories.

[stragies]

It was my impression, that OP was using the term "shit jobs" to denote jobs with low pay, but high effort, manual, dangerous, etc.

"Plumbing" is therefore not a "shit job". It's well paid compared to most (Uber/Taxi/etc-)driving, cleaning, trash-collecting and many other jobs.

[tracker1]

Trash collecting tends to pay pretty well too.

[stragies]

Yes, but trash collecting is super-easy to automate compared to automated "finding-of-plumbing-solutions".

It all depends on the ratio "Ease-of-implementation" / "Cost of existing manpower" for each sector of job.

[tracker1]

Even then, your own definition of shit jobs, " low pay, but high effort, manual, dangerous, etc." doesn't really correspond that well.

High effort and dangerous jobs usually pay well... low paying jobs are inherently manual, and/or likely to be automated away. In the end, some things don't automate well. There's a human aspect to a lot of things, and many of those won't be displaced soon. Of course, I do understand that many other jobs cannot fill the void that will be lost, especially with an ever expanding population.