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by eduma 2282 days ago
German resident (md) here. The ‘official’ explanation is that Germany did lot of testing early in the course of the epidemic. We have many cases in the healthy population resulting in less severe symptoms. The older population is still not so much affected. A significant rise in death-counts is expected in the next two weeks. Hospitals are planing for the worst. Stay safe!
1 comments

I keep seeing that "next couple of weeks" phenomenon. At what point can we be assured that we crossed those ever-critical couple of weeks? It keeps pushing out.

I am thinking that Corona is killing the same people who would have died from regular flu for the most part, i.e. it's not in addition to normal deaths. I understand that this is a minority opinion, but data may bear it out eventually.

Look at the 'worldometers' that someone else posted. You will see sloping lines there. You can judge for yourself when it has actually hit.

Because of a lack of ICU facilities, governments are hoping to push the critical point out as far as possible.

except virus != ill != death
Someone made a comparison of the number of deaths in one of severly affected Italian cities over the past couple of weeks vs an equivalent period there in 2019. The death count was something like 78 vs 18.