[CaptArmchair]

Those are valid points. But we don't know if the samples we have are representative. Either because of their size, or their composition.

Extrapolating the results from one context into a different context - different parameters (i.e. hospital capacity, treatment, prevention, local culture,...) - also yields a skewed view.

Even experts don't know how ugly it's going to get:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-expe...

So, I don't want to make any guesses about exact death rates. That's just a number. What we do know is that a substantial number of people who get sick will need intensive care. How bad things will get depends on how well health care and social security systems will be able to cope; and how the other domino's - companies, taxpayers,... - will cope with that reality.