[AntonStratiev]

We can take the age profile of Venezuela[1] and the estimated hospital rates and general virus profile from the Imperial College report[2].

Assume 80% infection, and assuming that 100% of people who would have needed hospitalization die.

This is 720,000 people, or 2.5% of the population. However, if we just take the working-age population (65 and lower), and assume 50% survival rate instead of 0%, the deaths are just 0.79% of the total population.

So decimation is absolutely inaccurate and the higher-up poster is correct. Developing countries like Venezuela cannot afford to and should not shutdown their economies or societies.

[1] https://www.populationpyramid.net/venezuela-bolivarian-repub...

[2] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...

[yostrovs]

A lot more people already fled Venezuela than the virus will ever kill there, that's for sure. Also, as a correction... Venezuela is not a developing country. It is de-developing.

[wolco]

This creates additional problems you are not seeing.

Anyone still left in Venezuela now has the virus or had the virus. The virus is still going around in 6 months. Everyone outside of Venezuela has gotten rid of it. Wouldn't the country be a isolated because no other country could allow travel to avoid another outbreak.

Years down the road it would be still spreading probably morphing to something even more dangerous.

You would only do this if you were counting on a vaccine.

[tinus_hn]

This kind of message doesn’t get as many clicks though.