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by aazaa 2282 days ago
Yes, and I'm looking at the aggregate data in the last two graphs, and also the big table.

HCQ + AZ was the only group with clearance for all after six days. It was also the smaller of the two groups, which makes it hard to give any weight to the finding. But there are many other features of this study that make the result hard to interpret.

1 comments

Great that we’re looking at the same study! I’m not sure what you mean by:

“No patient was cleared of virus after six days using hydroxychloroquine alone.“

Because the percentages there are 57% Of patients on HCQ alone we’re cleared, vs 12% control.

Is there sufficient evidence in favor of rejecting the null hypothesis, that 57% of patients in the HCQ study group would have gone on to spontaneously recover without HCQ? Because that's the really interesting question. It's not a question of the study group versus control group, it's a question of whether the study group and control group had enough characteristics in common to make them statistically equivalent samples of a population that vary only in whether they were given HCQ. And I think the consensus among people who are clear on that is that the populations have too little in common.
A fair criticism of the study, but does not make the case that “no patient on HCQ alone was virus free by day 6”, since that is objectively false by my reading.