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by asveikau 2289 days ago
20-somethings have 0.2% death risk but I read 1% hospitalization rate. So if you are in that age group, and I put you with 99 of your infected friends, one of you ends up in the hospital.

For 30-somethings I believe this goes up to 3%. Then higher from there.

Neither of those are huge but nor are they zero. Neither is a .2% death rate at millions of infections. Those are real people, a lot of them will be young like you and in the hospital. We haven't even gotten into how you will put grandpa or your avuncular older neighbors or the old guy riding the bus at risk. Or how if you fall in that 1-3% that you will be competing for hospital resources with all the other pneumonia cases.

Was looking for more info and found this: https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/younger-adu...

Edit: is it me or did you edit and tone down your comment? In that case I apologize for putting it so harshly and personally. I will leave it as it is because people need to know this is serious for young people too.

1 comments

I did edit the post, but my goal was clarity not really a neutral tone. From a public heath perspective it’s important for heathy young people to avoid spreading the disease. But, that’s pushing people to be somewhat deceptive with statistics. So, while I am minimizing contact with others for my personal heath and the general social good I think people may be overestimating their personal risks.

Underlying heath simply seems to play a huge role. In China 10-19 year olds represented 1.2% of the total known cases and 0.9% were 9 or younger. That might have been related to transmission with elderly social circles more widely spreading the disease, or exposure to related diseases etc. However, it’s more likely an indication of untested largely asymptotic cases.

PS: half of the 300 to 400 coronavirus patients treated in intensive care units in Paris were younger than 65

16.8% of the French population is over 65. 50% of their ICU cases are over 65. https://countrymeters.info/en/France That works out to about a 5:1 ratio even including 50-64 year olds at significant risk in the younger population. The avoidance of an age specific breakdown suggests they where aiming to convey a specific message rather than clearly conveying information.