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by inferiorhuman 2286 days ago
In epidemiology, accurately estimating, say, case fatality rates is notoriously difficult - especially in the middle (or the beginning!) of an epidemic. Given the issues we're all familiar with surrounding the lack of testing, this should come as no surprise.

So then why stir up shit right now? It's reckless at best. People are already downplaying the severity as best they can.

1 comments

Calling for repeated random draws of a country's population and testing everyone in that draw is stirring shit up?
Trying to estimate if we're overreacting at the beginning/middle of a pandemic is absolutely trying to stir shit up. We can't reasonably know until much closer to the end.