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by jojo2000 2285 days ago
This. The only way to properly evaluate state of the pandemic is to test the whole population of a country with a test that can differentiate :

- incubating phase - illness phase - post-illness with immunity - fatalities linked with the pathogen

Problem is that the test(s) are currently too pricey both money- and time-wise. Limiting factor here is time, because states push incredible amounts of money to save people.

Furthermore, I could find no reference to assert exactly what the test tests, and its reliability (false negatives/positives) ; this was illustrated by cases of recontaminations that could be linked to incorrect tests.

So now you're a state actor. You've got two choices : either, you play it low regarding extreme measures to contain the pandemic (first reaction of England), you delay measures (like most of European countries, and US), or you act swiftly (China, Korea).

Challenge here is that you won't know if the measures you have taken are too harsh until it's over.

Given the number of unknowns, what will you choose ?

Well let's say that overwhelmed hospital personal, facing dilemnas everyday regarding who deserves to live and who deserves to die, dying themselves to fight the infections, will give you the answer.

It's easy to qualify the reaction as disproportionate when you don't have skin in the game.

1 comments

Who doesn't have skin in the game in that sentence?
I'd say anyone that believes that the current situation will have no consequence for themselves or their relatives, or who are not aware of the current situation in care facilities and so, downplay it.

It has led to unbelievable carelessness attitude, like people organizing parties after government warnings, transmitting the disease to more vulnerable people.

So yes, everyone has skin in the game, but some people think they have not, until they realize that they have.