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by ddlatham 2288 days ago
It's not just the elderly who will die if the system is overwhelmed. Nearly 40% of those that are sick enough to require hospital care are between the ages of 20 and 64[1]. If everyone is getting it at the same time and there's not enough health care to go around, those 20-64 year olds will be dying too. I'm guessing you yourself may fall into that age cohort.

[1]https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/18/health/coronavirus-young-...

1 comments

A quick google suggests that 84% of the population is under 65, so this isn’t especially surprising. Every other data source I’ve seen has used age 60 as the benchmark which is probably skewing how we think of these numbers in the US context.

% of ICU patients in ages 20-44 is just 2-4%.

% of ICU patients under 60 is going to be, eyeballing it, maybe 25-30% with most of concentrated in people in their 50s.

If you’re young and would be hospitalized (not ICU), I think it’s pretty unlikely you would die from this even if just left at home.

This is a serious concern. It is not apocalyptic. If you’re young and healthy, you are still vastly likely to come out of this just fine even if infected regardless of hospitals.