[alasdair_]

2% to 4% is the number of hospitalized people that die IF they get care.

If the health system is overrun, and there are zero ICU beds or ventilators available, that number will go up quickly. THAT is the problem we are trying to avoid.

[traitsnspecs]

The numbers matter here. Go up by how much?

[infinite8s]

Look at the difference between Italy's death rate and South Korea's.