[easytiger]

> This doesn't add up either -- immunity per individual is expected to last 'only a few months',

There is no evidence either way. Even if it is transient it will be enough for it to die down

[Jedd]

There's some very strong indicators that immunity will be ephemeral.

It's possible the R naught will drop below the currently assessed 2.2 over time, but there's no evidence for that -- and if both these things stay as expected, it won't be transient enough to 'die down' naturally.

[easytiger]

Unfortunately until we get an antigen test, we will not know for sure. But there is no reason to believe at this point that it isn't anything other than a standard immune response.

It would extremely rare that it wasn't