[rnd33]

Are all bear markets the same? If there's a clear signal when to start buying why isn't everyone doing it?

To me technical analysis of the stock market is the modern equivalent of a shaman predicting next year's harvest. It sounds very convincing but there's little scientific evidence that it can predict anything accurately.

[dictatorsunion]

It's as though you think everyone is rational. If they are they should be selling, but no, they are buying.

[rnd33]

I'm not saying everyone is rational, I'm just saying there is no reliable way of predicting when the market has bottomed out.

DCA-ing on the way down means I will at least buy lower than a year ago. I have no way of knowing when we will bottom out, or if it will be -25%, -30% or -50% and beyond.

[dragandj]

for someone to be able to sell, another one has to buy.