[bosie]

a small percentage of a large number is still a large number. 80% infected within 1 year and ~10% of those require hospitalization. usa: 350m => 80% is 280M => ~30 million hospital/ICU beds for 2-4 weeks. this is on top of regular/ongoing hospitalisation. hence it hitting any african country or india with the same force would be devastating.

[markhahn]

much less than 10% require hospitalization, though.

[bosie]

the beauty of the equation is that you can fiddle with the numbers as much as you want, it will always lead to a collapse of the health care system