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by phkahler 2281 days ago
If it's drawn out slow enough, the spread should nearly stop without lockdown once 20-25 percent of the population has recovered. Assuming prior infection offers immunity of course.
2 comments

I think it's a pretty safe prior to have that our immune system will work effectively against this virus post exposure. This isn't the first time a virus has crossed the species barrier in all of our evolutionary history and we've survived so far.
I don't know we can count on that at this stage: https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-c...
The article said the patient showed signs of recovery and then later on started showing signs of the virus again. I don't know if that means they conducted an exit test to confirm that she was negative for coronavirus after her first bout with it. Maybe it died down in her system, but wasn't completely gone when she was deemed healthy again and later on it flared up again for some reason.
There's another man who tested negative and then again got symptoms and tested positive again: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20200315_13/
Why do you get 25%? I thought it largely depended on the R0 value
Assuming immunity in the recovered population, R0(25% immune) = 0.75R0(~0% immune)