[aaron695]

How long did the HIV vaccine take?

Use that as a yard stuck.

A lockdown isn't 'successful' it does little, except drag society into the dirt while a little time is bought to work things out.

Time China bought us but we squandered.

If you're lucky it's a winter desease so it'll become summer and it'll die off. But that's coin flipping a little.

Treatments might be found but it's hard to know how fast, especially while everyone is on lockdown.

[dgb23]

> A lockdown isn't 'successful' it does little, except drag society into the dirt while a little time is bought to work things out.

Slowing down the spread is useful to soften the blow on medicinal infrastructure.

[aaron695]

The flatten the curve meme has become toxic. Maybe it always was.

Have a look at a flatten the curve with actual numbers not cartoons.

Make sure the hospital capacity is seasonal and accounts for the fact nurses and doctors will wear out and supply's will dwindle.

Then say it softens the blow.

[gus_massa]

Each virus is different, and apparently it is easier to find a vaccine against covid19 than HIV. Covid19 is similar to SARS and other cororavirus, so virologist have a good guess about how much time it will take. Probably not less than a year, don't expect to see it next month magically as other people. Here says 18 months approximately https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/when-will-a-co... I guess it will take longer, like 2 years.