Just apply and see what rate they give you. The initial applications are annoying but once you've done that you can drag your application with a lender out for a long time so long as they can still mark it as an "active" file.
I worked in the industry and your credit score was the primary reason we based off your rate, and we knocked it down a bit if there was a promo or if you had autopay.
You don't get dinged hard by just applying. Ask how long they keep your credit report before pulling it again and just get rate quotes during that time period. It's smart and also lenders know when they'll be increasing rates before it goes in affect so it doesn't hurt to do it now and then just wade it out.
Also ask for a rate modification. Nobody knows about this but you can request to get just your rate modified and nothing else changes. It's WAY less time consuming, cheaper, you don't need an appraisal, and can be done in a day. The downside is you can't get "new money" (more than your current principle balance) and you're not extending your loan.
It will, but not just yet. There’s too many people trying to refi right now and supply can’t keep up with demand, so rates are higher than they should be. Give it another 3-6 months and I wouldn’t be surprised if mortgage rates fell by another 1%.
I personally don’t think there’s a floor, all that matters is spread over treasuries. If we go with your 2% number, that’s the spread between the mortgage risk and the risk-free rate. If risk-free goes to -1%, then it’d make sense for mortgages to go to 1%. This is something that already happens in European countries. I don’t think there’s an inherent reason for the risk-free rate to be a positive number.
On a different note, 2% default != 2% loss. Mortgages are secured by the property, losing investors only a small fraction in foreclosure, so a 2% default * 25% severity = 0.5% loss.
It's already a pretty good time to refi for most people as rates dropped to a bit under 3% recently. They went back up a little bit though as mortgage companies had to take on staff to handle all the additional demand.
I worked in the industry and your credit score was the primary reason we based off your rate, and we knocked it down a bit if there was a promo or if you had autopay.
You don't get dinged hard by just applying. Ask how long they keep your credit report before pulling it again and just get rate quotes during that time period. It's smart and also lenders know when they'll be increasing rates before it goes in affect so it doesn't hurt to do it now and then just wade it out.
Also ask for a rate modification. Nobody knows about this but you can request to get just your rate modified and nothing else changes. It's WAY less time consuming, cheaper, you don't need an appraisal, and can be done in a day. The downside is you can't get "new money" (more than your current principle balance) and you're not extending your loan.