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by varjag 2283 days ago
3.4%
1 comments
ma2rten 2283 days ago
That number is a crude estimate based on reported cases. The real number of cases is obviously higher than the ones being reported.
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D_Alex 2283 days ago
>The real number of cases is obviously higher than the ones being reported.

Yes... and the number of dead people will also obviously be higher - because the disease has not yet run its course in all of the reported cases.

Here is Lancet from 12 March estimating 5.7% final mortality rate among confirmed cases.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

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varjag 2283 days ago
These are WHO figures. You are speculating.
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ma2rten 2283 days ago
While the true mortality of COVID-19 will take some time to fully understand, the data we have so far indicate that the crude mortality ratio (the number of reported deaths divided by the reported cases) is between 3-4%, the infection mortality rate (the number of reported deaths divided by the number of infections) will be lower.

https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situati...

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