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by simonh 2287 days ago
Those are good points. Because Italy was hit hardest first they had very little time to prepare. The UK has had about an extra month, which puts us in a different strategic position, so we might be able to afford an approach not viable for Italy.
2 comments

How does the UK have an extra month, exactly ?

It did not take Italy 1 month to to go from 1,143 (today's UK number) positives to 21,157 (today's Italy number, per https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...), did it ?

Testing in Italy was far less, the totals for there need to be inferred from the deaths and cases and the amount of testing!
Italy had 21 deaths on the 28th feb, so 2 weeks ago.
But the response will be less pronounced here with knowledge, self isolation and a lack of kissing when greeting. A month is probably a better guess than 2 weeks, but not a single person knows is rather the point...
It takes a long time to acquire respirators and to train anesthesiologists.