[mattmanser]

Italy is almost a month ahead of most of the world in infections though, their first outbreaks were weeks ago and the source for infecting most of the rest of Europe.

A lot of the UK infections can be traced to Italian holidays, for example.

Even if the government does plan to lock down the UK eventually, every day must cost 10s of millions, you can understand the strategy to wait longer, and even to play it down a bit.

[lultimouomo]

The biggest EU countries are 1 to two weeks behind Italy:

https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1238604695700209664

(mind the log scale)

[mhandley]

I just posted today's update: http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/

Denmark and Norway are less than a week behind Italy in terms of confirmed cases per million inhabitants, as is Switzerland. Spain moved closer the last two days as well.

[new2628]

According to the growth rates along the exponential curve, it seems more like a week or two than a month.