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by playpause 2294 days ago
It’s worth noting Italy’s much higher death rate is because the hospitals are full, and this is likely to happen in other countries soon. The proportion of Covid-19 patients that require intubation is much higher than that of flu.

Several other European countries and the US are on roughly the same infection rate trajectory as Italy, just a few weeks behind. Unless they significantly slow it down, it seems likely their health systems will be overwhelmed too, and their death rates could start looking more like Italy’s.

3 comments

Italy is probably also just not testing people who don't have serious symptoms. They've been hovering around a 15% positive rate on tests, about half of which have to be hospitalized, which is a lot compared to other countries.
In addition to that, I read that there are more old people in Italy too -- another factor contributing to the higher numbers there.
Apparently Switzerland surpassed other countries and is now #2 for no of cases per million people...

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries