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by highfrequency 2290 days ago
No, the hard part of trading anything is having edge over other people. Options are not priced assuming there will be a "miraculous recovery" in the next 24 hours. They're priced based on the world's expectation of future volatility, through a very competitive market mechanism. There is no reason to assume you have better insight than people who model this stuff full-time.

It's irresponsible to suggest that making money trading is akin to shooting fish in a barrel. Best case, it's a slightly negative EV gamble with high variance.