Well, GWT still deals heavily with HTML, CSS, and the DOM. It does offer certain abstractions that many frameworks do not. Both projects are certainly targeting a similar (but not completely identical) market.
I'm not quite sure what you mean by "the real contender" though.
Sorry, English is not my native language. I was referring to the stackoverflow answer where it said gwt is a toolkit, cappucino is a framework. Sproutcore is a framework, so it seems someone would choose between cappucino or sproutcore if what they were looking for is a framework.
Each of the above has their strengths and weaknesses, and there are many more frameworks than I can list at the moment, but even with the select list above we can see there are many more contenders in this space than just Cappuccino, Sproutcore, and GWT.
I'm not quite sure what you mean by "the real contender" though.