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by onlyrealcuzzo 2290 days ago
Can you define sooner than some are predicting?

There's almost zero chance you see peak virus before end of March in the US. From what I hear, most people are predicting peaks in Europe in late April / early May and peaks in the US a week or two after.

I'm not sure how much faster you think we'll see peak than that.

Maybe you mean the tail will be shorter? Most people I see are predicting Coronavirus will impact consumer behavior until end of year. I don't have the first clue how likely that is.

1 comments

I agree with you on what you say about zero chance for those dates, but there have been predictions (many repeated right here on HN) about a level of spread that in months infects dozens to hundreds of millions and results in several million fatalities worldwide. So far, none of these extreme prediction figures have a genuinely concrete footing (and a number of similar figures were predicted for how much it would have spread even by now, which obviously haven't come to pass)
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