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by jmkni 2287 days ago
What do you mean by inflection point, and why is it better if it's early?
3 comments

3Blue1Brown has a recent video on this that explains it really well: https://youtu.be/Kas0tIxDvrg
3Blue1Brown is just exceptional. I don’t know anyone else’s combination of animation and explanation that comes close.
Thanks!
Early can mean "at a low percentage" (which would be good) and not just "reached fast" (which would be very bad, unless also at low percentage). The percentage is directly depending on R0 (which apparently isn't easy to get below 1 even with China-grade measures).
The inflection point here means that the speed of the spreading of virus gets slower, so less people get infected then previous day. If this point is earlier in time, this means that the virus won't infect so many people after a time. I think the big question is the cause of the inflection point. Is it because of the nature of the virus or because of the different action like quarantine