[dinglejungle]

> I am slowly coming to the realization that a quarter to a half of a percent of people who are alive on Earth today may not be in one year.

More than that percentage of the world's population die every year regardless (about 0.8% each year it seems like[1]).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortality_rate

[sneak]

Of course I meant in addition to those. My estimate is also conservative, because I believe there will be a vaccine before the year is out. Without one, we could see as high as 1.5-2%.

[paxys]

It isn't really additive though, since those that die from the virus are generally more likely to die of the flu and many other age-related diseases.

[tzm]

COVID-19 accelerates mortality rates and certainly is additive in low risk groups. It's disingenuous to normalize risk as "non-additive" to fit your narrative.