[starfallg]

This is actually the hardest to believe. The virus has run it course in Wuhan and it is likely dieing down as a significant number of people having developed immunity to it.

But outside of Wuhan, there is likely a number of infected persons in the population still transmitting it and waiting to resurface into more serious cases after people get back to work.

[FooBarWidget]

I have family in China outside Hubei province. If COVID-19 really did spread widely to the rest of China then I would have known it, and hospitals would have absolutely been overwhelmed.

There are even multiple foreigners in China who can confirm the situation. Checkout the Youtube videos by Daniel Dumbrill in February.

Might there still be hidden carriers in the population? Absolutely. China must remain vigilant. This stuff is hard.

My wife is considering flying back to China if things get worse here in the Netherlands. I agree with her: I also think that by now China is probably safer than anywhere else in the world. Multiple provinces have downgraded their emergency level, some are even virus free. Within Wuhan, multiple temporary hospitals have closed because they are no longer needed. People are slowly getting back to work. Containment efforts are shifting from ‘preventing the virus from getting out’ to ‘prevent it from getting in from foreign countries’.

[starfallg]

That's expected based on data from South Korea - the hospitalisation rate is lower than in China with more widespread testing. The virus is both more transmissible and less virulent than the Chinese data suggests. The outcome is the same - hospital bed and ICUs swamped.

As such, we'll know when life resumes and people go back to work en masse.