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by kaiabwpdjqn 2295 days ago
I noticed this smoker effect early on! Data from China was showing about 20% of the infected population was smokers, while smoking is closer to 60% in Chinese men (by cursory google search). The death rates were much higher for infected smokers, but they were curiously underrepresented.

This has a really interesting double effect if you think about it. In places with lots of smokers, fewer people will get the disease, but a larger proportion will die from it. Both of those effects will magnify the death rate.

Edit: assuming the protection is additive and not proportional to existing rates across ages

1 comments

What about former smokers?

I imagine that, depending on the mechanism of action, and whether the "increased immunity" remains, there could something reproducible to reduce transmission.

The data was small but seemed to be worse for former smokers. That’s hard to judge though, because former smokers are likely to have quit due to health problems. I haven’t seen any useful stats on infection rates but I think that’s an interesting idea.