[cklaus]

American Hospital Association "Best Guess Epidemiology" for #codiv19 over next 2 months:

96,000,000 infections

4,800,000 hospitalizations

1,900,000 ICU admissions

480,000 deaths

vs flu in 2019:

35,500,000 infections

490,600 hospitalizations

49,000 ICU admissions

34,200 deaths

[nateberkopec]

"The American Hospital Association said the webinar reflects the views of the experts who spoke on it, not its own."

You're quoting the opinion of one person: Dr James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Centre. That person researches infectious diseases, so, their opinion isn't a complete guess of course, but we should ascribe the numbers to the right source.

[nabla9]

Where it says next 2 months?

If the doubling time is one week there is just something like 100k - 200k infections in next two months.

I think those numbers are yearly infection estimates.

[graeme]

I think the graph meant 96 million infections active in the peak two months. Hard to be sure without seeing the presentation, but it definitely isn’t the next two months.

[abootstrapper]

Source link?

[cklaus]

Source:

https://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-pr...

[CharlesW]

https://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-pr...