I think you are right in the sense that at room temperature, thermal fluctuations dominate.
Better stated, my point is that if the entire assembly is at absolute zero, the quantum fluctuations in the final gear are much greater than the deterministic motion associated with one revolution of the first gear.
Better stated, my point is that if the entire assembly is at absolute zero, the quantum fluctuations in the final gear are much greater than the deterministic motion associated with one revolution of the first gear.