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by mjevans
2302 days ago
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I only skimmed so I might have missed these points being discussed... The 'mental immune system', which uses imagination to search for potential paths to classify likely future outcomes suffers from one very critical issue. Selection bias / neural network (literal) training set problems. Repeated failures without success lead to the weight of that success against the failures skewing the prediction algorithm. Reality might or might not match the perceived lack of paths worth perusing, but the weight of that imagined failure against the slim odds of success surely also influences the ability to take the paths that could work even if they are discovered. Repairing a biological entity's neural network for predicting future outcomes must surely also correlate with providing a 'good' feed of data to re-normalize expectations. My own theory and belief is that our evolutionary ancestors communities were small and 'depression' or other signs of distress resulted in this reconditioning; a social control rather than a directly biological one. Modern society seems to have broken that control loop and thus the situation becomes irreparable. |
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The classic experiment is the cookie experiment, where the outcome is by resisting a plate of cookies they can have as many as they like but if they take one straight away they only get one. But it generalizes to many other outcomes too (not sure if outcome is the right word but you get what I mean?)