[dwild]

Wuhan is your reference? China too? Aren't they putting pretty severe quarantine in Wuhan? Aren't their quarantine outside of Wuhan still quite strong?

The Diamond Princess had a quarantine, and yet the infection reached 706 peoples, in a boat with 3711 peoples. Sure that's "only" 20%, but that seems to me like 40% isn't that far out if we are considering that it's hard to quarantine a whole country.

The timeframe is important too, as long as we don't have developed any vaccine, the only way to develop immunity is by being infected... thus if the virus spread that easily, it's only a question of when will we reach 40-70%, not if.

[physicles]

Yeah I’m in Beijing now and there’s no way most of the world could implement this kind of quarantine. I can’t leave or come back home without presenting a special card at the gate of my apartment complex.

But it’s working, and at this point I’d rather be here than in many other countries.