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by nopinsight 2300 days ago
Have you considered the fatality rate and what would happen if it reaches the same percentage of population as seasonal flu?

Check out Spanish Flu for worst case scenario.

China restrictions have been much more stringent than what you imply. People in Wuhan were prevented from leaving their apartments at all and needed to wait for food from the government.

The jury is still out whether softer forms of restrictions can work once the disease is widespread. We will see about that by watching South Korea and Italy. (We know it works if there are not too many cases around, like in Singapore.)

1 comments

Have you considered the fatality rate and what would happen if it reaches the same percentage of population as seasonal flu?

Yeah, that would be bad, but there is no data to suggest it would get that bad.

This makes zero sense. We know the fatality rate. We know the R0. We know how many people have it currently and how fast it’s spreading. It’s simple math.