[bhanhfo]

Source added, excerpt here:

Professor Christian Drosten from the Charite clinic in Berlin, Germany, estimates the virus could infect up to 70 percent of the world or 5.2 billion people.

He said: “Presumably between 60 and 70 percent of the people will get infected but we don’t know in what timeframe.

“It can be two years or even longer. It will be more problematic if the infections occur in a short amount of time.

“That is why authorities are doing everything to recognise the origin of infections and slow down any further spread of the infection.”

According to Professor Drosten, the coronavirus epidemic could even match the Asian flu pandemic of 1957 and the 1968 flu pandemic, which began in Hong Kong.

In the former case, the Asian flu is estimated to have killed between one and two million people.

Professor Drosten said: “If the whole pandemic process lasts two years, we will manage.

“If it is only a year, it will be much more difficult because many more cases will occur all at the same time.

“The necessary number of beds for patients requiring intensive care unit therapy is difficult to predict.

Presumably between 60 and 70 percent of the people will get infected

Professor Christian Drosten, Charite clinic

“If we don’t do anything now, they may not be enough.”

[addandsubtract]

It's important to know where the 60-70% number comes from. He's basing it off of the evidence that the virus spreads at a ratio of 1:3. So every infected will spread it to 3 others and a pandemonium will only last as long as it can spread to >1 other person. Therefore, if 2/3 (66%) of the population is infected (hence immune), the virus won't be a pandemonium anymore. He's also assuming that nearly everyone will be infected at some point in time.

Source: NDR podcast 02.03.2020 @ 11:55

https://mediandr-a.akamaihd.net/download/podcasts/podcast468...