[bob33212]

If the death rate was 10% across the board we would know how far it has spread. But this cold may have a 0.001% hospitalization or death rate for people in great health. There could already be 100,000 people infected in the states.

We may be close to the point of saying "fuck it. False alarm this is just a cold. Carry on". Hard to know for sure though until a couple weeks go by

[lucb1e]

From another comment, in Italy the numbers are worse than previously reported rather than better.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22476675

I did not check their source. Just saying that "we may be close to saying `false alarm`" seems almost certainly ill-informed.

[learc83]

Based on confirmed cases. There are likely far more cases that haven't been tested.

[bob33212]

How can you be "almost certain" of the future based on numbers from 1 article you didn't even read?

[lucb1e]

and based on that nobody else (like WHO, local authorities near me or my parents, or even journalists) says that.