[bloogsy]

> Most of them don't even hold a driving license

This is absolutely not true in the UK, and probably not in most major cities. The overwhelming proportion of cyclists here are adults, and many have decided to take up cycling after already going through the normal rite-of-passage of learning to drive.

Base on data from the national travel survey, it's estimated that 83% of cyclists hold a driving license in the UK[1]. Given that figure, an increase in cycling traffic will definitely cause a proportional decrease in motorised traffic.

1. https://www.cyclinguk.org/statistics

[chinesempire]

Where does op says they are not adults?

My fiance is an adult and she doesn't have a driving license.

Because public transport allowed her to move without driving

[bloogsy]

You are misunderstanding my point - I'm saying that because the majority of cyclists are adults, who got into cycling after they turned 18, the majority of them have learned to drive (at least from my experience), not that the cyclists OP is talking about aren't adults.

I do not hold a driving license either, aged 29, but I am in the minority. I am also learning to drive this year, to stop burdening my friends and family members.

[chinesempire]

My point is that in modern cities you are not a minority anymore, or not by a large margin.

I have a driving license, I've been driving for 20 years, but I gave up on cars 3 years ago.

Now I use other means of transport, mainly the subway and my feet. I walk a lot, but I don't use a bike because

- I don't like biking when it rains and in Milan it rains a lot

- I don't mind the cars, but I avoid sharing the road with trams and their rails, and Milan has a lot of them

- I mostly go out at night and I think biking at night it's too dangerous, even if there were no cars around

- Milan is very flat, it makes it good for biking, but also for walking, which I prefer

There are a lot more bikes in Milan then in Rome, but the people that are biking to replace the car entirely are a small minority, they either live a few minutes away from their workplace, are students or use it as a way to do sports, not to commute

Finally, air quality is bad and biking make it much worse

One thing I noticed is electric scooters are having a boom because they are easier to drive, transport and are less messy (if you're a woman in a dress or a man in a suite biking can be very challenging)