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by Alex3917 2309 days ago
> That would put the mortality rate at under 1%, which is close to the evidence we have from elsewhere (e.g. the Diamond Princess).

Since it takes 3+ weeks to die from this illness, we're not going to know the fatality rate from the diamond princess for another month. And that's still going to be a lower bound since they'll all be getting medical care from often before they're even diagnosed.

2 comments

>And that's still going to be a lower bound since they'll all be getting medical care from often before they're even diagnosed.

It's not a lower bound because cruise ships skew much older than the general population. All 4 who have died so far have been in their 80s.

Good point. That you can at least try to correct for to match various populations though.
We know the percentage of people who are in critical condition and it's very low.