| EDIT: --- As the replies to my comment indicate I have totally misunderstood the paper. And there IS in fact evidence that the temperature changes the transmission. Sorry my bad. leaving the rest as is --- > I'm hoping Spring ends up curtailing the pandemic; letting warmer temperatures do their work requires slowing down the virus' spread as much as possible, and that requires significant disruptions to people's everyday lives. from this paper "Temperature significant change COVID-19 Transmission in 429 cities":
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.22.20025791v... > There is no evidence supporting that temperature changes COVID-19 transmission. Methods: We collected the cumulative number of confirmed cases of all cities and regions affected by COVID-19 in the world from January 20 to February 4, 2020, and calculated the daily means of the average, minimum and maximum temperatures in January. .... EDIT: I'm also very worried about this point you mention: > the PRC is putting the entire country on what amounts to wartime footing (in a way that's unimaginable to most HN readers), the effect of isolation/quarantine can have massive psychological damage and after-effects (especially on kids), such as PTSD, depression, ... years after the virus is gone: "The psychological impact of quarantine and how to reduce it: rapid review of the evidence" https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... Very much underrated. There isn't enough dialogue right now with the public about what they are likely to expect. |