Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by toptal 2310 days ago
So it’s just a coincidence that Dr. Li Wenliang, who was 34, died and he only had a 0.2% chance of dying? I find this too much of a coincidence. There is no way these numbers can be correct.
3 comments

Just because the statistical probability of something happening is very low does not mean that it is physically impossible.

Flipping a coin 100 times and having the results all be heads is extremely low but still physically possible.

We can be skeptical about China's official numbers but just because something is statistically unlikely to happen and it happens does not mean immediately that there is foul play.

There's reporting bias. Would you have heard of him if he had survived?
My tinfoil hat wonders if he actually died from other causes.
Causes like not eating and drinking enough and not sleeping enough while already pretty sick?