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by 11thEarlOfMar 2308 days ago
According to Johns Hopkins data Feb 27, 2020 [0], Iran would come to:

Deaths: 26

Recovered: 49

(26 / (26 + 49)) = 34.7%

[0] https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...

2 comments

We can conclude that Iran is severely underreporting cases.
Or severely overreporting deaths.
We also have that Iran does not have the health care system to even provide proper equipment for their health staff. This is a case of massive under reporting, but unfortunately that means they are not containing it and do not even know the extent of their problem. That is the teal worry with Iran, not some super deadly variant

The diamond princess saw almost 100% exposure and only 0.5% of people died who got infected. Depending if you choose that stat, or the 2% WHO star, that suggests 15-100x more cases are in Iran than their lousy health system realizes.