[oefrha]

Report 4 was published on Feb 10 (the report itself doesn't include any date info, which IMO is a huge mistake, but you bet the data is even older -- the last death recorded in the attached CSV file was from Jan 23), with a couple of stats derived from only two deaths. I would take this report with a bowl of salt, or even mark it as obsolete.

[sciinfo]

I have followed the news closely, the CFR might decrease a bit in Hubei because China has reinforced it with 20,000 medical staff and hospitals. They also have found some better treatments (not a cure, to be clear).

The approx. 20% hospitalization figure is the elephant in the room. Even if reduced to 10% or 5%, it would still overwhelm medical resources of any country.

The point is if a country gets complacent, it could be too late to contain it without drastic measures and mass sufferings.

[oefrha]

> The approx. 20% hospitalization figure is the elephant in the room, even if reduced to 10% or 5%, would still overwhelm medical resources of any country though.

That's for sure. Hopefully fewer people will be touting the "it's just a slightly worse flu" or "common flu kills more" nonsense by now.