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by torben-friis
2308 days ago
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The strong expectation for free untracked movement is no different between eu countries and us states - though I think our geographical distribution of population is indeed different. I'm from Spain, and as soon as I saw people tested positive in Italy I knew we were going to fall too. Sure enough, we quickly had some cases in the canary islands and now it's already in the mainland, in my city (Madrid). The differences in intra city transportation are gonna be a big difference too, compared to an American city: everyone in the center uses the subway and buses, which are packed at rush hour. It's going to spread like wildfire. |
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And transport connections between Northern Italy and Spain are worse than the ones with France, Switzerland, Austria, and Germany.
The cat is basically out of the bag. The question now is if we can keep it subdued enough to reach the warmer season, when it might stop on its own like SARS did and/or make it easier for people to develop antibodies.