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by snackematician
2314 days ago
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> This is with the figures known so far and before there is a vaccine around 2-3%. There's still a lot of uncertainty around the fatality rate here. For cases outside China, the fatality rate so far is about .2%, compared to about .1% for seasonal influenza. By contrast, in Hubei the reported fatality rate is around 4-5%. (Numbers are as of last week so might be slightly outdated now). My guess is that the 2-3% estimate is too high. In Hubei there is probably a reporting bias towards counting the more sick cases -- mild or asymptomatic COVID cases are probably being reported less often. |
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I sincerely hope you are right. Those are numbers that when extrapolated to global scale are too horrific to even contemplate.